If i were too invest 250k into s&p 500 and withdraw 5-10% annually…

Given the avg ror is 10%. I feel like even if I withdraw 7% a year the 250k would grow over 20-40 years. Sure would be some negative years. Balance may read 125k one year. But would it not end up in the green long term? So long as our entire world doesnt crumble. I can live off 15k a year. So thinking of doing this.