Verizon is not a growth company and its shares are unlikely to double ever. However, this key provider of a critical service in this country has just become ridiculously oversold. Free Cash Flow has varied between $15B and $20B since 2009. The dividend is $10B out of that piggy bank. While the dividend growth might be limited in the short term given the economic environment, a large cut is unlikely.
If we make some very modest assumptions, the stock can deliver a desirable long term return:
3% EPS growth per year pessimistically (1% revenues, 2% from debt reduction/share repurchase)
PLUS
1 multiple-point expansion per year for the next 5 years (7X TO 12X = 14% per year)
PLUS
7% annual dividend
EQUALS
24% annualized return over the next 5 years
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