What are everyone’s thoughts on shorting the VIX with a time frame of 12-18 months? At around $22 right now it still has a ways to go before it returns to early 2020 price around $12.50.
My argument is that even if the market declines early 2023, it will likely be tapering off, recession inbound, and analysts are thinking the entire year will probably be flat, thus less volatility and maybe a profitable decline in the VIX.
My current concern would be election news/hype stirring up the market as it does, but that would likely be avoidable if we exit the short leaps prior to say mid 2024? Maybe slightly earlier.
Would love to hear other peoples thoughts or concerns.
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