We are approaching the 15 month mark of having an inverse yield curve. Any time there has been this curve in the past, there has been a recession. It takes around 15 months after the inverse yield curve starts to see the recession take place. Of course this is a lot of prediction and it’s not like the economy acts exactly the same each time.
Im curious on everyone’s thoughts on if we will see a big dip here soon, October will be the fifteenth month. But do you guys think this case might take longer than 15 months to show a dip in the economy? I’m wondering so. I think the Ukraine war and just a few select stocks are holding up the economy. Personally I believe the market won’t go into recession until the war is over.
Thoughts on this? I’m very new to looking at bonds and new to investing in general, so I would love to hear what y’all think about whether you think we will see a recession at all, if it will happen very soon, or if it will be a while.
Leave a Reply