The US stock market is having trouble for the last almost two years because the 10-year return estimates ain't that great. They're low single digit percentages per year (3%-4% average). So after 10 years, the market might be up 40%? That would be OK, except you can buy a 10-year US Treasury yielding 4.8% and be assured of getting that return if you hold for the entire life of the bond, but equities you might do better or worse than 3%-4%. Uncertainty has a price. Here is the site:
https://allocatesmartly.com/new-feature-10-year-stock-market-return-forecast/
The estimate updates nightly, free or paid members can both see it. Disclosure – I am a paid member, but don't have any ownership or control of the site, and I don't know the publisher on a personal basis or anything. I'm just a client.
I find it very instructive that the 10-year return of the 60/40 is better than for 100% US stocks. That means the 2022-2023 massacre in bonds means they're attractive priced now, and on a point-forward basis they are going to compete heavily with stocks.
Best of luck to you.
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