$DJT (Not political) Just thoughts and an expectation of a super interesting stock

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-says-he-is-not-selling-his-shares-truth-social-company-2024-09-13/

• The major holder of $DJT said: I will not sell. This being Trump, those that own the stock should think about the scenarios

  1. Trump will SELL (all or a very large portion) a week or so before the election, as he knows his company has little to zero value, especially if he loses.
  2. Trump is a man of his word, he will not sell

• Trump wins

  • This stock will see 40$ – 80$ overnight. If he has sold, nobody will care.

• Trump loses

  • His fans will lose fortunes. There will be no consequence for Trump as this is his last political hurrah.

• Thoughts to consider

  1. Would Trump pass on 1 billion (or more) if he knows that a negative election result will send the stock below 10$, or more likely below 5$ ?
  2. Would Trump take the risk in a 50/50 win chance scenario of losing billions? Or would he do as traders do? Secure profits.
  3. Trump is a businessman, he does not do Charity (if anything his family/org is convicted of stealing from Cancer Kids Charity). So, will he care about his fans/supporters?

My theory is that the stock will rise into election day, if the polls are indicating a tight race or a lead. A good entry point would be, I guess 15$. Trade up to 25$ (or so) and take the investment out. Let the rest run, and sell at 46 (as a hommage to Biden).

Your thoughts?