Dell Valuation


Valuation

Free Cash Flow TTM ($M) : 7511

With a growth rate of 3% for the next 5 years and a 2% infinite growth rate after that.

You can expect a return of 20% per year for 10 years with a 12.5% margin of safety.

10% Return 15% Return 20% Return
Fair Value $126.66 $78.23 $56.84
Margin of safety given 60% 35% 12.5%

Negatives

Issuing more shares

Negative Book Value

Positives

Good Valuation

Consistent Revenue Growth

Debt no longer an issue

High return on invested capital (17%)

Growing Cash Flow

Side notes

They have recently spun off VMware, resolving their debt issue. However they will suffer with slower growth because of this

They have also recently introduced a small dividend of $1.32, a 2.66% yield which means a payout ratio of 19% from last years earnings.


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