New Data Points to Soft Landing.


  • The new data from positive GDP and fewer jobless claims are both pointing to a Soft Landing with the aid of the upcoming expected Fed interest rate cut.
  • Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased annually by 3.0 percent in the second quarter of 2024. In the first quarter, real GDP increased 1.4 percent.
  • The real GDP increase primarily reflected consumer spending, private inventory investment, and nonresidential fixed investment. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, increased
  • US initial jobless claims inch lower by 2,000 to 231,000 in the week ending on August 24 below the expectation of 234,000.
  • The four-week moving average of initial claims fell 5,000 to 232,000
  • U.S. central bank is expected to begin its easing cycle next month with a 25 basis points reduction with a chance of 50 basis points on the table. The Fed has maintained its policy rate for more than a year in the current 5.25%-5.50% range after raising it by 525 basis points in 2022 and 2023.

https://www.bea.gov/news/2024/gross-domestic-product-second-estimate-corporate-profits-preliminary-estimate-second


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