Lag effect and rate decrease coming plus war, are we getting close to a new bear market?
The longest bear market on record for the S&P 500 was from 1946 to 1949, lasting three years. The average bear market lasts around 14 months, but other bear markets have lasted longer: 2000–2002: This 31-month bear market was also known as the Dot Com Bubble, and saw the S&P 500 decline by 49% 1973–1974: This bear market lasted 20 months 2023: As of June 11, 2023, the S&P 500 had been in bear market territory for 248 trading days, the longest since 1948
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