Some MAJOR BULLISH news came out yesterday, which indicated that Veritas has extended the tender date from April 1st to April 6th (to my understanding the furthest extension date possible is April 7th). However, this is only 7 days from today.
Additionally, in this extension document it was noted that ONLY 0.6% shares have been tendered. For this deal to go through 50% plus need to be tendered. This is a long way off the necessary amount when they were originally just 72 hours away from the deadline. This also means NO major institution has tendered their shares yet. If 50% do not tender then Veritas will be forced to increase their offer, or back out of the deal and as a result our OTM calls/shares should rip.
Here’s the specific wording from the SEC filing (SEC Filing):
“On March 29, 2022, Purchaser extended the expiration of the Offer. The Offer was previously scheduled to expire at one minute after 11:59 p.m., New York City time, on April 1, 2022. The expiration time of the Offer has been extended to one minute after 11:59 p.m., New York City time, on April 6, 2022, unless Purchaser further extends the Offer pursuant to the terms of the Merger Agreement. The depositary for the Offer has advised Parent that, as of one minute after 11:59 p.m., New York City time, on March 28, 2022, approximately 1,803,547 Shares had been validly tendered into and not validly withdrawn pursuant to the Offer, representing approximately 0.6% of the outstanding Shares.”
Now I’m not an M&A expert, however this seems BIG and very favorable for our OTM calls and/or shares.
Lastly, Laughing Water Capital (an institutional investor opposed to the $21 tender) has a twitter thread with someone who has claimed that Veritas directly called them and other shareholders asking them to tender their shares. I cannot verify if this is true or not, however if this is true then that is another major bullish indicator. This proves that Veritas is scared the deal won’t go through. Laughing Water Twitter
We must realize that not Tendering will put Veritas in a position to make a fair offer on 2021 ACTUAL EBITDA rather than the 2021 Estimates, since actuals were 37% higher than the estimates used in the $21 a share valuation or they can back out of this deal. Either of these options will be in the best interest of the shareholders (based on the SEC valuation filing in previous posts). We retailers must do our part in not tendering the shares since this will cost Veritas hundreds of millions extra to get a deal done, and that money flows directly to our pockets.
TLDR; Keep price above $21, do NOT Tender, only 0.6% of the necessary 50% shares have been tendered, buy OTM $22.50 calls in hopes the offer is increased, buy shares @ $21 or lower
Side note: If anyone has any additional information please share, and does anyone have specific information on the process institutions take in tendering shares? Do they typically wait till the very last day to decide on tendering, or do they elect to tender several days before the deadline as there was only 0.6% tendered 72 hours prior to the original deadline?
Leave a Reply