When & will the U.S. economy go to a recession

• I think the U.S. economy is running too hot and it's time to slow things down.

• Supply chains have not improved and shortages won't be resolved until demand slows down.

• Inflation is at 40 year highs while savings rates is at the lowest level in years after fiscal & monetary policy has dried up.

• Gas is over $4 a gallon.

I predict a recession later in '22 or early '23. It won't be as bad as early '20 during COVID with +15% unemployment rate, but things will slow down because people just can't keep spending forever in this kind of environment.