Are generous severance packages masking the declining job numbers?


There have been tens of thousands of layoffs the past couple of weeks (most reports indicate it's in tech companies) which typically involve severance of 3 months or even 16 weeks with full benefits. If you are collecting severance I assume you don't count as unemployed until your severance runs out and you start actively looking for a new job.

When the initial jobs numbers came out this week there was a massive sell off market open and early in the morning, but the market bounced back near closing. Although the numbers were strong on paper, there was a weird disconnect between the headline number and the household survey. Where the headline number shows over 250k jobs added, but the household survey shows a -138k drop in employed which seems to stem from a massive -186k drop in labor force participation.

Also although hourly pay went up .6%, the stats also show that hours worked also went down. Which seems odd.


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