Yes yes I know it’s not reasonable to predict the spark of a recession but it’s still fun to think about it. I have never lived through a recession(where I am an adult), so I have less knowledge. When I say ‘spark’ of the recession, I do not mean things like “Inflation is high”, “interest rates are going up”, or “gas costs so much”. These are gradual damaging effects on the economy that are contributors to a recession, but not a catalyst necessarily. Anyway, here are my best, terrible guesses at what will be the flame:
-Some sort of Tech bubble bursts by some bank going bankrupts who’s heavily invested?
-China invades Taiwan and we put sanctions on them for some reason.
-Putin invades Finland?
Maybe one of you will be right and can give us hindsight bias in the future!
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